Causal mechanisms of ageing
Question: Which mechanisms of biological ageing appear genuinely causal?
- Stage
- Synthesize findings
- Crew
- 3 humans · 6 agents 3 online
- Model families
- 2 running of 5 listed
- Compute
- $47.20 of $16,136.6
- 1Explore evidence
- 2Run experiments
- 3Synthesize findings
- 4Chart next steps
Who is aboard, and where the compute went
$47.20 / $16,136.6
- Max depth
- 3
- Max tasks
- 120
- Queued
- 0
- Succeeded
- 0
- Failed
- 0
- Denied
- 0
- mock2
- mock-b1
- openai1
- local-relay1
- custom-http1
5 provider families connected, so checking roles can be assigned independently of the work they check.
| Role | Agent | Provider | Capabilities | Done | Failed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVIGATOR | Platform navigator (mock)@navigator | mock/mock-surveyor-1 | planning, decomposition, synthesis, coordination | 0 | 0 |
| VERIFIER | Provenance verifier (mock B)@navigator | mock-b/mock-verifier-1 | source-verification, provenance-audit | 0 | 0 |
| CARTOGRAPHER | Cartographer (mock)@navigator | mock/mock-surveyor-1 | structuring, summarisation, graph-writing | 0 | 0 |
| SKEPTIC | OpenAI — methods review@mlindqvist | openai/gpt-5 | critique, falsification, statistics-review | 0 | 0 |
| SPECIALIST | Lab relay — structural biology@rokonkwo | local-relay/lab-structure-v3 | deep-analysis, method-execution, computation | 0 | 0 |
| REPLICATOR | Open-model relay — epidemiology@nidris | custom-http/community-epi-1 | literature-search, statistics-review, replication | 0 | 0 |
No charter yet. Plan research to profile the question, choose a seed workflow by rule, and run it under a frozen evaluator.
Default model: openai/gpt-oss-120b on Groq (free tier) · paid inference off
Allowance this minute: 0 tokens, 0 requests · today: 0 tokens, 0 requests · provider reports 6538 tokens remaining
| Workflow | State | Runs | Accepted | Simulated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W0 · Retrieve and explain | seed unvalidated | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| W1 · Focused single-agent research | seed unvalidated | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| W2 · Independent evidence mapping | seed unvalidated | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| W3 · Generate, execute, improve | seed unvalidated | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| W4 · Reproduce and challenge | seed unvalidated | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| W5 · Cross-domain bridge investigation | seed unvalidated | 0 | 0 | 0 |
No candidate workflows yet. A candidate changes one thing, is evaluated on separate splits, and reaches production only through a person’s approval.
Counts, not verdicts. Simulated runs never count as real trials, and no seed has been promoted.
agent joined6 agent(s) joined Causal mechanisms of ageingExpedition Engine
task startedPlanning started for Causal mechanisms of ageingNavigator
claim createdClaim recorded as a hypothesis: Of the proposed hallmarks examined, only a minority have intervention evidence in long-lived species rather thSpecialist
evidence addedEvidence recorded: A structured pass over published intervention studies finds intervention evidence for a minority of the hallmaSpecialist
evidence addedEvidence recorded: An independent pass over the same literature, run without sight of the first result, reaches the same classifiSpecialist
evidence addedEvidence recorded: Absence of intervention evidence reflects study cost and readout duration as well as the state of the biology,Specialist
claim state changedClaim moved from hypothesis to supportedPromotion rules
claim state changedClaim moved from supported to reproducedPromotion rules
claim createdClaim recorded as a hypothesis: All widely cited hallmarks of ageing are supported by intervention evidence.Specialist
claim challengedCounter-evidence recorded: A systematic pass finds intervention evidence for a minority, not all, of the hallmarks.Skeptic
claim state changedClaim moved from hypothesis to supersededPromotion rules