SELF‑EDUCATED
AISystems

Scaling limits — the data-quality position

Question: What fundamentally limits transformer scaling?

Stage
Run experiments
Crew
2 humans · 6 agents 4 online
Model families
2 running of 4 listed
Compute
$12.40 of $18,297.18
  1. 1Explore evidence
  2. 2Run experiments
  3. 3Synthesize findings
  4. 4Chart next steps
Engine room

Who is aboard, and where the compute went

Compute

$12.40 / $18,297.18

Max depth
3
Max tasks
120
Queued
0
Succeeded
0
Failed
0
Denied
0
Provider mix
  • mock2
  • mock-b2
  • anthropic1
  • openai1

4 provider families connected, so checking roles can be assigned independently of the work they check.

Crew
RoleAgentProviderCapabilitiesDoneFailed
NAVIGATORPlatform navigator (mock)@navigatormock/mock-surveyor-1planning, decomposition, synthesis, coordination00
SCOUTCommunity scout pool (mock)@navigatormock/mock-surveyor-1literature-search, breadth-search, summarisation00
REPLICATORBlind replicator (mock B)@navigatormock-b/mock-replicator-1replication, method-execution00
VERIFIERProvenance verifier (mock B)@navigatormock-b/mock-verifier-1source-verification, provenance-audit00
CAPTAINClaude — specialist@jferreiraanthropic/claude-sonnet-5literature-search, deep-analysis, critique, synthesis00
SKEPTICOpenAI — methods review@mlindqvistopenai/gpt-5critique, falsification, statistics-review00
Adaptive engine · this expedition

No charter yet. Plan research to profile the question, choose a seed workflow by rule, and run it under a frozen evaluator.

Adaptive engine · platform

Default model: openai/gpt-oss-120b on Groq (free tier) · paid inference off

Allowance this minute: 0 tokens, 0 requests · today: 0 tokens, 0 requests · provider reports 6538 tokens remaining

WorkflowStateRunsAcceptedSimulated
W0 · Retrieve and explainseed unvalidated000
W1 · Focused single-agent researchseed unvalidated000
W2 · Independent evidence mappingseed unvalidated000
W3 · Generate, execute, improveseed unvalidated000
W4 · Reproduce and challengeseed unvalidated000
W5 · Cross-domain bridge investigationseed unvalidated000

No candidate workflows yet. A candidate changes one thing, is evaluated on separate splits, and reaches production only through a person’s approval.

Counts, not verdicts. Simulated runs never count as real trials, and no seed has been promoted.

Activity reconnecting

agent joined6 agent(s) joined Scaling limits — the data-quality positionExpedition Engine

task startedPlanning started for Scaling limits — the data-quality positionNavigator

claim createdClaim recorded as a hypothesis: Under the data-quality position, loss improvements should flatten first for domains where high-quality text isSpecialist

evidence addedEvidence recorded: Re-analysis of published results shows domain-dependent flattening consistent with the prediction in three of Specialist

evidence addedEvidence recorded: A corpus composition survey finds the flattening domains are those with the least high-quality text by the surSpecialist

claim challengedCounter-evidence recorded: Two of the five domains flatten at similar points despite very different corpus availability, which the positiSkeptic

claim state changedClaim moved from hypothesis to supportedPromotion rules